Tennis

US Open Experts Divided: Can American Stars Break the Drought in New York?

  • Authored By: Sports Now
  • Updated Aug 30, 2026, 19:57 IST

As the US Open approaches, experts weigh in on whether Coco Gauff and Ben Shelton can lead a home-court charge or if Novak Djokovic will secure a record-breaking 25th Grand Slam title.

US Open Experts Divided: Can American Stars Break the Drought in New York?

The tennis world is turning its attention to Queens as the US Open approaches, with a panel of experts offering split predictions on who will emerge victorious at the final Grand Slam of the year. While defending champions Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka return to the spotlight, their preparations have been marked by uncertainty, leaving the door wide open for a host of contenders, particularly those from the United States.

The conversation surrounding the women’s draw is dominated by the form of Coco Gauff, who enters the tournament fresh off a victory at the Cincinnati Open. Experts highlight her momentum and familiarity with the New York crowd as key factors, though the field remains deep with threats like Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula. Meanwhile, the men’s side is defined by the absence of top-tier consistency, with many analysts pointing toward a potential breakthrough for American men, specifically Ben Shelton, or a historic milestone for Novak Djokovic.

Contenders and Question Marks in the Draws

Coco Gauff’s recent performance in Cincinnati has solidified her status as a primary favorite among the panel. Experts noted that her ability to replicate her 2023 championship form makes her a formidable presence, despite a challenging path through the bracket. Conversely, Iga Swiatek has been identified as a dangerous dark horse, with her recent semifinal appearance in Cincinnati and a favorable section of the draw suggesting she is finding her rhythm at the right time. Aryna Sabalenka, despite a difficult summer, remains a player to watch, with analysts noting that her game remains well-suited for the hard courts of New York.

On the men’s side, the narrative is heavily influenced by the physical status of the top seeds. Carlos Alcaraz, returning from a significant wrist injury, faces skepticism regarding his match fitness, leading some experts to look elsewhere for a winner. Ben Shelton has emerged as a popular pick, buoyed by his recent success at the Canadian Open and the prospect of a supportive home crowd. However, the shadow of Novak Djokovic looms large. Despite a quiet lead-up to the tournament, analysts suggest that his path to the quarterfinals is manageable, providing him with the perfect opportunity to chase a record-breaking 25th Grand Slam title.

Expert Betting Perspectives

Beyond the tournament favorites, betting analysts have identified value in the current odds. Jessica Pegula is frequently cited as a strong value pick, given her consistent form and a draw that allows her to avoid the top seeds until the final stages. Her performance throughout the hard-court season has positioned her as a reliable contender who could capitalize on the tournament's unpredictable nature.

The consensus among the panel is that this year’s US Open is one of the most open in recent memory. With American players like Shelton and Pegula playing with high confidence and the traditional favorites managing various physical and form-related hurdles, the stage is set for a highly competitive fortnight. Whether the home crowd will witness a historic American victory or see a veteran champion add to their legacy remains the central question as play begins in New York.